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Titre : Bernoulli's fallacy: statistical illogic and the crisis of modern science Type de document : livre Auteurs : Aubrey Clayton, Auteur Editeur : New York : Columbia University Press Année de publication : 2022 Importance : 347 p. ISBN/ISSN/EAN : 978-0-231-19995-7 Prix : 24.95 USD Note générale : Paperback edition 2022 Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Statistical methods Probability theory Mathematics Philosophy Sciences History Résumé : Le site éditeur indique : There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations.
Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics.
Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach—that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information—in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli’s Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data—and how to fix it.En ligne : https://cup.columbia.edu/book/bernoullis-fallacy/9780231199940 Bernoulli's fallacy: statistical illogic and the crisis of modern science [livre] / Aubrey Clayton, Auteur . - New York : Columbia University Press, 2022 . - 347 p.
ISBN : 978-0-231-19995-7 : 24.95 USD
Paperback edition 2022
Langues : Anglais (eng)
Mots-clés : Statistical methods Probability theory Mathematics Philosophy Sciences History Résumé : Le site éditeur indique : There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations.
Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics.
Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach—that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information—in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli’s Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data—and how to fix it.En ligne : https://cup.columbia.edu/book/bernoullis-fallacy/9780231199940 Exemplaires (1)
Code-barres Cote Support Localisation Section Disponibilité 69872 CLA_21_69872 Livre Salle des ouvrages 21_Sciences_Humaines Sorti jusqu'au 25/05/2043 The fall of the wild: extinction, de-extinction, and the ethics of conservation / Ben A. Minteer (2019)
Titre : The fall of the wild: extinction, de-extinction, and the ethics of conservation Type de document : livre Auteurs : Ben A. Minteer, Auteur Editeur : New York : Columbia University Press Année de publication : 2019 Importance : 183 p. ISBN/ISSN/EAN : 978-0-231-17778-8 Prix : 28.00 USD Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Biodiversity Nature conservation Wildlife Ethics Environmental Protection Résumé : Le site éditeur indique : The passenger pigeon, the great auk, the Tasmanian tiger—the memory of these vanished species haunts the fight against extinction. Seeking to save other creatures from their fate in an age of accelerating biodiversity loss, wildlife advocates have become captivated by a narrative of heroic conservation efforts. A range of technological and policy strategies, from the traditional, such as regulations and refuges, to the novel—the scientific wizardry of genetic engineering and synthetic biology—seemingly promise solutions to the extinction crisis.
In The Fall of the Wild, Ben A. Minteer calls for reflection on the ethical dilemmas of species loss and recovery in an increasingly human-driven world. He asks an unsettling but necessary question: Might our well-meaning efforts to save and restore wildlife pose a threat to the ideal of preserving a world that isn’t completely under the human thumb? Minteer probes the tension between our impulse to do whatever it takes and the risk of pursuing strategies that undermine our broader commitment to the preservation of wildness. From collecting wildlife specimens for museums and the wilderness aspirations of zoos to visions of “assisted colonization” of new habitats and high-tech attempts to revive long-extinct species, he explores the scientific and ethical concerns vexing conservation today. The Fall of the Wild is a nuanced treatment of the deeper moral issues underpinning the quest to save species on the brink of extinction and an accessible intervention in debates over the principles and practice of nature conservation.En ligne : http://cup.columbia.edu/book/the-fall-of-the-wild/9780231177788 The fall of the wild: extinction, de-extinction, and the ethics of conservation [livre] / Ben A. Minteer, Auteur . - New York : Columbia University Press, 2019 . - 183 p.
ISBN : 978-0-231-17778-8 : 28.00 USD
Langues : Anglais (eng)
Mots-clés : Biodiversity Nature conservation Wildlife Ethics Environmental Protection Résumé : Le site éditeur indique : The passenger pigeon, the great auk, the Tasmanian tiger—the memory of these vanished species haunts the fight against extinction. Seeking to save other creatures from their fate in an age of accelerating biodiversity loss, wildlife advocates have become captivated by a narrative of heroic conservation efforts. A range of technological and policy strategies, from the traditional, such as regulations and refuges, to the novel—the scientific wizardry of genetic engineering and synthetic biology—seemingly promise solutions to the extinction crisis.
In The Fall of the Wild, Ben A. Minteer calls for reflection on the ethical dilemmas of species loss and recovery in an increasingly human-driven world. He asks an unsettling but necessary question: Might our well-meaning efforts to save and restore wildlife pose a threat to the ideal of preserving a world that isn’t completely under the human thumb? Minteer probes the tension between our impulse to do whatever it takes and the risk of pursuing strategies that undermine our broader commitment to the preservation of wildness. From collecting wildlife specimens for museums and the wilderness aspirations of zoos to visions of “assisted colonization” of new habitats and high-tech attempts to revive long-extinct species, he explores the scientific and ethical concerns vexing conservation today. The Fall of the Wild is a nuanced treatment of the deeper moral issues underpinning the quest to save species on the brink of extinction and an accessible intervention in debates over the principles and practice of nature conservation.En ligne : http://cup.columbia.edu/book/the-fall-of-the-wild/9780231177788 Exemplaires (1)
Code-barres Cote Support Localisation Section Disponibilité 69658 MIN_21_69658 Livre Salle des ouvrages 21_Sciences_Humaines Sorti jusqu'au 25/05/2043
Titre : Foundation papers in landscape ecology Type de document : livre Auteurs : John A. Wiens, Éditeur scientifique ; M. R. Moss, Éditeur scientifique ; M. G. Turner, Éditeur scientifique ; D. J. Mladenoff, Éditeur scientifique Editeur : New York : Columbia University Press Année de publication : 2007 Importance : 582 p. ISBN/ISSN/EAN : 978-0-231-12681-6 Prix : 55.00 USD Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Landscape ecology Résumé : Landscape ecology focuses on spatial heterogeneity, or the idea that where things are and where they are in relation to other things can have important consequences for a wide range of phenomena. Landscape ecology integrates humans with natural ecosystems and brings a spatial perspective to such fields as natural resource management, conservation, and urban planning. The thirty-seven papers included in this volume present the origins and development of landscape ecology and encompass a variety of perspectives, approaches, and geographies. The editors begin with articles that illuminate the discipline's diverse scientific foundations, such as L. S. Berg's keystone paper outlining a geoecological analysis based on soil science, physical geography, and geology. Next they include selections exemplifying landscape ecologists' growing awareness of spatial pattern, the different ways they incorporated scale into their work, the progression of landscape ecology from a qualitative to a quantitative discipline, and how concepts from landscape ecology have come to permeate ecological research and influence land-use policy, conservation practices, landscape architecture, and geography. Together these articles provide a solid introduction to what is now widely recognized as an important area of research and application that encourages new ways of thinking about natural and human-dominated ecosystems. [Résumé éditeur] En ligne : https://cup.columbia.edu/book/foundation-papers-in-landscape-ecology/97802311268 [...] Foundation papers in landscape ecology [livre] / John A. Wiens, Éditeur scientifique ; M. R. Moss, Éditeur scientifique ; M. G. Turner, Éditeur scientifique ; D. J. Mladenoff, Éditeur scientifique . - New York : Columbia University Press, 2007 . - 582 p.
ISBN : 978-0-231-12681-6 : 55.00 USD
Langues : Anglais (eng)
Mots-clés : Landscape ecology Résumé : Landscape ecology focuses on spatial heterogeneity, or the idea that where things are and where they are in relation to other things can have important consequences for a wide range of phenomena. Landscape ecology integrates humans with natural ecosystems and brings a spatial perspective to such fields as natural resource management, conservation, and urban planning. The thirty-seven papers included in this volume present the origins and development of landscape ecology and encompass a variety of perspectives, approaches, and geographies. The editors begin with articles that illuminate the discipline's diverse scientific foundations, such as L. S. Berg's keystone paper outlining a geoecological analysis based on soil science, physical geography, and geology. Next they include selections exemplifying landscape ecologists' growing awareness of spatial pattern, the different ways they incorporated scale into their work, the progression of landscape ecology from a qualitative to a quantitative discipline, and how concepts from landscape ecology have come to permeate ecological research and influence land-use policy, conservation practices, landscape architecture, and geography. Together these articles provide a solid introduction to what is now widely recognized as an important area of research and application that encourages new ways of thinking about natural and human-dominated ecosystems. [Résumé éditeur] En ligne : https://cup.columbia.edu/book/foundation-papers-in-landscape-ecology/97802311268 [...] Exemplaires (1)
Code-barres Cote Support Localisation Section Disponibilité 68295 WIE_15_68295 Livre Salle des ouvrages 15_Ecologie_générale Sorti jusqu'au 05/02/2044
Titre : Managing biodiversity in agricultural ecosystems Type de document : livre Auteurs : Jarvis, D.I.(Ed.) ; Padoch, C.(Ed.) ; Cooper, H.D.(Ed.) Editeur : Montpellier, France : Bioversity International Année de publication : 2007 Autre Editeur : New York : Columbia University Press Importance : 492 p. ISBN/ISSN/EAN : 978-0-231-13649-5 Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Agricultural ecology Agrobiodiversity Biodiversity Ecosystem services Genetic resources En ligne : http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip072/2006031672.html Managing biodiversity in agricultural ecosystems [livre] / Jarvis, D.I.(Ed.) ; Padoch, C.(Ed.) ; Cooper, H.D.(Ed.) . - Montpellier, France : Bioversity International : New York : Columbia University Press, 2007 . - 492 p.
ISBN : 978-0-231-13649-5
Langues : Anglais (eng)
Mots-clés : Agricultural ecology Agrobiodiversity Biodiversity Ecosystem services Genetic resources En ligne : http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip072/2006031672.html Exemplaires (1)
Code-barres Cote Support Localisation Section Disponibilité 69268 JAR_15_69268 Livre Salle des ouvrages 15_Ecologie_générale Sorti jusqu'au 25/05/2043
Titre : Useless arithmetic: why environmental scientists can't predict the future Type de document : livre Auteurs : Pilkey, O.H. ; Pilkey-Jarvis, L. Editeur : New York : Columbia University Press Année de publication : 2007 Importance : 229 p. ISBN/ISSN/EAN : 978-0-231-13212-1 Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Case studies Environmental policies Environmental protection Mathematical models Note de contenu : Hbk; Useless arithmetic: why environmental scientists can't predict the future [livre] / Pilkey, O.H. ; Pilkey-Jarvis, L. . - New York : Columbia University Press, 2007 . - 229 p.
ISBN : 978-0-231-13212-1
Langues : Anglais (eng)
Mots-clés : Case studies Environmental policies Environmental protection Mathematical models Note de contenu : Hbk; Exemplaires (1)
Code-barres Cote Support Localisation Section Disponibilité 68320 Pil_8_68320 Livre Salle des ouvrages 08_Divers Disponible
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